Patterns generated by a hidden process

Limitations of a Markov Process
Hidden Markov Models
Summary

Section 3 - Page 1
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Summary

We have seen that there are some processes where an observed sequence is probabalistically related to an underlying Markov process. In such cases, the number of observable states may be different to the number of hidden states.

We model such cases using a hidden Markov model (HMM). This is a model containing two sets of states and three sets of probabilities;

  • hidden states : the (TRUE) states of a system that may be described by a Markov process (e.g., the weather).

  • observable states : the states of the process that are `visible' (e.g., seaweed dampness).